Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.030911 0.033240 0.035673 0.038409 0.041403 0.044586 0.048229
2025-05-25 0.026882 0.030155 0.033753 0.038019 0.042956 0.048513 0.055271
2025-06-01 0.024008 0.027781 0.032091 0.037409 0.043833 0.051395 0.061045
2025-06-08 0.021790 0.025842 0.030613 0.036691 0.044295 0.053583 0.065925
2025-06-15 0.020193 0.024452 0.029597 0.036335 0.045026 0.055995 0.071103
2025-06-22 0.018884 0.023284 0.028720 0.036015 0.045683 0.058248 0.076129
2025-06-29 0.017620 0.022068 0.027671 0.035354 0.045781 0.059690 0.080078
2025-07-06 0.016940 0.021545 0.027457 0.035738 0.047248 0.063011 0.086823
2025-07-13 0.016192 0.020877 0.026996 0.035731 0.048140 0.065547 0.092584
2025-07-20 0.015672 0.020476 0.026857 0.036135 0.049600 0.068946 0.099842
2025-07-27 0.014988 0.019811 0.026309 0.035916 0.050124 0.070979 0.105131
2025-08-03 0.014362 0.019190 0.025785 0.035686 0.050595 0.072930 0.110401
2025-08-10 0.013771 0.018594 0.025271 0.035450 0.051050 0.074900 0.115892
2025-08-17 0.013269 0.018100 0.024877 0.035363 0.051717 0.077228 0.122152
2025-08-24 0.012684 0.017460 0.024238 0.034865 0.051701 0.078447 0.126595
2025-08-31 0.012100 0.016796 0.023530 0.034219 0.051403 0.079167 0.130196
2025-09-07 0.011645 0.016300 0.023049 0.033896 0.051594 0.080691 0.135330
2025-09-14 0.011228 0.015844 0.022604 0.033602 0.051807 0.082251 0.140635
2025-09-21 0.010757 0.015287 0.021984 0.032994 0.051455 0.082799 0.144065
2025-09-28 0.010553 0.015127 0.021962 0.033347 0.052737 0.086277 0.153387
2025-10-05 0.010275 0.014840 0.021731 0.033341 0.053395 0.088674 0.160786
2025-10-12 0.010099 0.014705 0.021729 0.033713 0.054724 0.092366 0.171115
2025-10-19 0.009804 0.014371 0.021398 0.033511 0.055023 0.094157 0.177670